Upcoming race
Mexico City Grand Prix
30 Oct 2026
Estimates from our model over the 6 most recent sessions with lap data (austin-2026-race, austin-2026-qualifying, singapore-2026-race, singapore-2026-qualifying, singapore-2026-sprint-qualifying, kuala-lumpur-2026-race), with a season-form prior from the championship standings. These are a data-derived guide, not a prediction or betting advice. How the model works.
| Pos | Driver | Rating | Win | Podium | Top 6 | Top 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 44 Lewis Hamilton HAM | 105.8 | 25.9% | 63.8% | 92.3% | 99.7% |
| 2 | 16 Charles Leclerc LEC | 100.4 | 16.2% | 45.9% | 81.8% | 98.5% |
| 3 | 12 Kimi Antonelli ANT | 95.2 | 12.2% | 38.2% | 72.6% | 96.3% |
| 4 | 3 Max Verstappen VER | 95.3 | 12.0% | 37.2% | 73.3% | 95.7% |
| 5 | 1 Lando Norris NOR | 93.4 | 10.8% | 34.1% | 68.7% | 95.0% |
| 6 | 6 Isack Hadjar HAD | 82.8 | 4.0% | 14.3% | 34.2% | 70.3% |
| 7 | 63 George Russell RUS | 79.5 | 3.0% | 10.8% | 27.0% | 61.4% |
| 8 | 30 Liam Lawson LAW | 75.8 | 2.7% | 9.5% | 25.1% | 56.9% |
| 9 | 81 Oscar Piastri PIA | 74.4 | 2.0% | 6.9% | 18.3% | 45.1% |
| 10 | 10 Pierre Gasly GAS | 72.0 | 1.9% | 6.9% | 18.0% | 44.9% |
| 11 | 27 Nico Hulkenberg HUL | 71.1 | 1.9% | 6.4% | 17.5% | 42.1% |
| 12 | 31 Esteban Ocon OCO | 65.4 | 1.2% | 4.1% | 11.4% | 29.2% |
| 13 | 43 Franco Colapinto COL | 64.5 | 1.0% | 3.6% | 9.7% | 25.4% |
| 14 | 18 Lance Stroll STR | 63.0 | 0.9% | 3.3% | 8.9% | 24.0% |
| 15 | 14 Fernando Alonso ALO | 62.5 | 0.9% | 3.2% | 9.0% | 23.6% |
| 16 | 41 Arvid Lindblad LIN | 59.3 | 0.6% | 2.3% | 5.6% | 17.5% |
| 17 | 5 Gabriel Bortoleto BOR | 58.8 | 0.6% | 2.1% | 6.0% | 17.0% |
| 18 | 87 Oliver Bearman BEA | 57.5 | 0.6% | 2.0% | 6.2% | 16.0% |
| 19 | 23 Alexander Albon ALB | 53.6 | 0.5% | 1.5% | 4.8% | 12.8% |
| 20 | 77 Valtteri Bottas BOT | 50.9 | 0.4% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 10.0% |
| 21 | 11 Sergio Perez PER | 49.8 | 0.3% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 9.4% |
| 22 | 55 Carlos Sainz SAI | 48.9 | 0.3% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 8.9% |