Upcoming race

Mexico City Grand Prix

30 Oct 2026

Estimates from our model over the 6 most recent sessions with lap data (austin-2026-race, austin-2026-qualifying, singapore-2026-race, singapore-2026-qualifying, singapore-2026-sprint-qualifying, kuala-lumpur-2026-race), with a season-form prior from the championship standings. These are a data-derived guide, not a prediction or betting advice. How the model works.

Mexico City Grand Prix odds · Odds for every grand prix

Driver boost
0
Pos Driver Team Rating Win Podium Top 6 Top 10
1 Ferrari 105.8 25.9% 63.8% 92.3% 99.7%
2 Ferrari 100.4 16.2% 45.9% 81.8% 98.5%
3 Mercedes 95.2 12.2% 38.2% 72.6% 96.3%
4 Red Bull Racing 95.3 12.0% 37.2% 73.3% 95.7%
5
1 Lando Norris NOR
McLaren 93.4 10.8% 34.1% 68.7% 95.0%
6
6 Isack Hadjar HAD
Red Bull Racing 82.8 4.0% 14.3% 34.2% 70.3%
7 Mercedes 79.5 3.0% 10.8% 27.0% 61.4%
8
30 Liam Lawson LAW
Racing Bulls 75.8 2.7% 9.5% 25.1% 56.9%
9
81 Oscar Piastri PIA
McLaren 74.4 2.0% 6.9% 18.3% 45.1%
10
10 Pierre Gasly GAS
Alpine 72.0 1.9% 6.9% 18.0% 44.9%
11 Audi 71.1 1.9% 6.4% 17.5% 42.1%
12
31 Esteban Ocon OCO
Haas F1 Team 65.4 1.2% 4.1% 11.4% 29.2%
13 Alpine 64.5 1.0% 3.6% 9.7% 25.4%
14
18 Lance Stroll STR
Aston Martin 63.0 0.9% 3.3% 8.9% 24.0%
15 Aston Martin 62.5 0.9% 3.2% 9.0% 23.6%
16 Racing Bulls 59.3 0.6% 2.3% 5.6% 17.5%
17 Audi 58.8 0.6% 2.1% 6.0% 17.0%
18 Haas F1 Team 57.5 0.6% 2.0% 6.2% 16.0%
19 Williams 53.6 0.5% 1.5% 4.8% 12.8%
20 Cadillac 50.9 0.4% 1.5% 3.3% 10.0%
21
11 Sergio Perez PER
Cadillac 49.8 0.3% 1.2% 3.3% 9.4%
22
55 Carlos Sainz SAI
Williams 48.9 0.3% 1.1% 3.1% 8.9%