F1 odds · 2026
Italian Grand Prix odds
Our data covers the Italian Grand Prix in 2023, 2024, 2025 and 2026. The most recent race, in 2026 at Monza, was won by Kimi Antonelli. Max Verstappen has won it twice in that span.
- Next race weekend
- Not yet scheduled
- Circuit
- Monza
- Races in data
- 4
- Last winner
- Kimi Antonelli 2026
When odds are published
The 2026 Italian Grand Prix has already been run, won by Kimi Antonelli. Odds for next season's edition will appear on this page in race week, once it is on the calendar in our data.
The next race is the 2026 United States Grand Prix (). Its odds are live: United States Grand Prix odds.
What the probabilities mean
Each figure is our model's estimated chance of an outcome, not a forecast of the result. The model rates every driver from recent race and qualifying sessions, weighted towards the newest sessions and towards circuits like this one, then turns those ratings into win chances that add up to one across the field. Podium, top six and top ten chances come from simulating the race many times and counting how often each driver lands in that bracket. Fair odds turn the same probability into a price with no bookmaker margin, so a bookmaker's price on the same driver is usually shorter.
Read the full method on how our odds work, or change the weightings yourself in the odds calculator.
18+ only. These figures are a data-derived guide, not a prediction or betting advice. If you choose to bet, please gamble responsibly. Free, confidential support is available at BeGambleAware.org.
Form at this grand prix
Race finishing positions at the Italian Grand Prix for every driver on the 2026 grid
| Driver | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kimi Antonelli Mercedes | – | – | P9 | P1 | P1 |
| George Russell Mercedes | P5 | P7 | P5 | P2 | P2 |
| Lewis Hamilton Ferrari | P6 | P5 | P6 | P6 | P5 |
| Max Verstappen Red Bull Racing | P1 | P6 | P1 | P3 | P1 |
| Charles Leclerc Ferrari | P4 | P1 | P4 | DNF | P1 |
| Lando Norris McLaren | P8 | P3 | P2 | P4 | P2 |
| Oscar Piastri McLaren | P12 | P2 | P3 | P5 | P2 |
| Isack Hadjar Red Bull Racing | – | – | P10 | – | P10 |
| Liam Lawson Racing Bulls | P11 | – | P14 | P14 | P11 |
| Pierre Gasly Alpine | P15 | P15 | P16 | P7 | P7 |
| Arvid Lindblad Racing Bulls | – | – | – | P8 | P8 |
| Franco Colapinto Alpine | – | P12 | P17 | P9 | P9 |
| Oliver Bearman Haas F1 Team | – | – | P12 | P15 | P12 |
| Nico Hulkenberg Audi | P17 | P17 | DNS | P12 | P12 |
| Gabriel Bortoleto Audi | – | – | P8 | P11 | P8 |
| Esteban Ocon Haas F1 Team | DNF | P14 | P15 | P16 | P14 |
| Carlos Sainz Williams | P3 | P4 | P11 | P13 | P3 |
| Fernando Alonso Aston Martin | P9 | P11 | DNF | DNF | P9 |
| Alexander Albon Williams | P7 | P9 | P7 | P17 | P7 |
| Yuki Tsunoda Racing Bulls | DNS | DNF | P13 | P10 | P10 |
| Sergio Perez Cadillac | P2 | P8 | – | P18 | P2 |
| Lance Stroll Aston Martin | P16 | P19 | P18 | DNF | P16 |
| Valtteri Bottas Cadillac | P10 | P16 | – | P19 | P10 |
DNF: did not finish. DNS: did not start. DSQ: disqualified. A dash means the driver did not take part that year. Best is the highest classified finish.
Italian Grand Prix winners and pole sitters
Every edition in our data, newest first
| Year | Circuit | Winner | Pole |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Monza | Kimi Antonelli | Pierre Gasly |
| 2025 | Monza | Max Verstappen | Max Verstappen |
| 2024 | Monza | Charles Leclerc | Lando Norris |
| 2023 | Monza | Max Verstappen | Carlos Sainz |